The “P99 Hedge” That Wasn’t

REsurety and Energy GPS partnered to bring you The “P99 Hedge” That Wasn’t, an empirical analysis of how wind farms with fixed volume swaps (also known as P99 Hedges or “Bank Hedges”) may be underestimating the impact of hourly mismatches in their financial model. Our analysis demonstrates that the commonly used modeling method (which ignores the hourly relationship between wind generation and power prices) results in dramatic over-estimations of project revenue.

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