Tag: Renewable Clean Energy

In case you missed it: Our Insights from ‘Navigating Volatility: The Shift Toward Transparency in the US PPA Market’

Navigating Volatility - recap of REsurety x S&P Webinar

by Emma Marjollet, Customer Success Manager, REsurety

Owen Glubiak (VP, Market Development, REsurety Markets) introduces CleanTrade, a CFTC-registered platform, at our February 5th collaborative webinar with S&P Global Energy.

The US clean energy market has reached a critical maturity point, with upwards of 350 GW of operational capacity. However, this growth is colliding with extreme price volatility and policy uncertainty. 

To meet this moment, S&P Global Energy Platts has partnered with REsurety to provide daily price assessments powered by CleanTrade transaction data, providing the real-time transparency necessary to navigate today’s market complexity.

We kicked things off with a webinar detailing how this can be transformative for the industry, where S&P Global Energy’s Associate Director of Price Reporting Annalisa Jeffries put it best: “In today’s volatile market, you can no longer ‘set it and forget it.’ Transparent, daily price signals are the only way for buyers and developers to accurately price risk amid shifting policy and congestion.” 

While corporate procurement continues to accelerate at a 30% CAGR, the industry is hampered by “pre-2000s” workflows – think fragmented emails, opaque pricing– that lead to capital slippage and nine-month deal cycles. The central takeaway from our discussion is clear: to sustain momentum, the industry must transition from manual deal-making to a more transparent, data-driven transaction infrastructure that meets the market where it is today.  

What we learned:

Policy Pressures & the ‘Construction Cliff’:

Shifting federal policies are fundamentally altering clean energy project economics. The OBBB (One Big Beautiful Bill) deadline of July 4, 2026, is a primary pressure point, requiring projects to commence physical construction to qualify for full tax credits. This “safe-harbor” race injects timing risk and forces developers to negotiate Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) after making major CAPEX decisions.

Surging Demand vs. Supply-Side Headwinds:

Massive demand from AI and data centers is reshaping PPA volumes, with hyperscalers leading multi-GW procurements. “In 2025, 80% of the corporate procurement in terms of volumes that were announced were actually from hyperscalers—in particular, the four largest hyperscalers,” noted Bruno Brunetti, Head of Renewable Revenue Streams at S&P Global Energy Horizons. Conversely, supply is hampered by transmission congestion and interconnection queues. While solar and Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) are surging, onshore wind outlooks have weakened due to local opposition and early tax credit sunsetting.

The Rising Cost of De-Risking:

PPA prices are trending upward across all ISOs. Developers are now factoring in a $2-3/MWh premium to comply with Foreign Entity of Concern (FEOC) rules and new tariffs as they de-risk their supply chains. In active markets like ERCOT, solar as-generated hedge prices have seen a $10/MWh
year-over-year increase.

The Rise of Short-Term PPAs:

As more projects roll off their original contracts from the early 2010s era, many developers are left holding financial risk from merchant capacity. Combined with the surging demand from the buying community, 1-5 year PPAs for operational projects have become an increasingly effective tool.

Digital Trading, meet Renewables:

Developers, traders, and corporate buyers require a 21st century risk management tool to separate the ‘signal’ from the ‘noise’ to meet their goals. To support this, S&P Global Energy Platts has partnered with REsurety to provide daily price assessments powered by CleanTrade—the first and only CFTC-registered Swap Execution Facility (SEF) for as-generated clean energy. Additionally, this shift provides the real-time, verifiable data needed to move beyond the “Rolodex” era of trading.

It’s clear the clean energy market has reached a tipping point where speed must meet the scale, and CleanTrade by REsurety is the solution.

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Basis Risk can Sink Projects and PPAs

Navigating the Hub-Node Gap with Creative Contracting.

There is no single price of electricity in the United States. While the price of a barrel of oil is set nationally, electricity is set locally – and fluctuates based on grid mix, time of day, and many other factors in a given region. As we’ve discussed in our Forecasting Webinar and our recent blog on the impacts of Venezuelan oil on clean energy prices, all energy market dynamics are interrelated. So when it comes to deciding whether to build or invest in a clean energy project like a solar or wind farm, the difference in electricity prices by region, and volatility in price over time, make all the difference for project success.

What do local price dynamics have to do with a solar farm’s ability to pay back its loans over time? The devil is in the details. And the details are called basis risk.

Background: The US electricity system’s hub + node structure

The US electricity system is made up of tens of thousands of nodes, where load and generation connect to transmission and distribution lines to form a giant, interconnected grid. A node may be a single solar plant, a collection of gas turbines, a datacenter, or a substation feeding thousands of homes. Each of these nodes has its own power price. 

Groups of nodes are organized into hubs. Hubs are virtual trading points, where the price is the average of all the nodes within the hub. (An example of a hub)

Most power purchase agreements (PPAs), where corporates or utilities agree to long-term contracts to buy power, are settled at the hub. Every month, the contract is settled by calculating how much money the developer would have made from selling their power to the grid at the hub price, how much money the developer is  guaranteed by the PPA signed with a corporate or utility buyer, and “settling” the difference. If market prices were low one month at that hub, the buyer sends the developer money to get them to their guaranteed PPA revenue. If prices were high one month, the developer sends the buyer the extra money that came in the door.

In this article, we’ll walk-through an example of a real project and make the math behind settling clear. We’ll show how risk is shared between developers and buyers, and how to share risk to increase success. 

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