Tag: clean energy buyers

Q2 2022 REmap Report

REsurety creates the REmap-powered State of the Renewables Market report every quarter to provide readers with data-driven insight into the emerging trends and value of renewables in U.S. power markets. We combine our domain expertise in power markets, atmospheric science, and renewable offtake to analyze thousands of projects and locations and summarize key findings here. All of the data behind this analysis is available via our interactive software tool, REmap. Please fill out the form at the bottom of the page to access the full report, the Editor’s Note is below.

Blair Allen, director, software customer success, REsurety

Blair Allen
Director, Software Customer Success, REsurety

Editor’s Note:

Node to hub basis* is rapidly becoming one of the most prominent financial risks for renewable developers and clean energy buyers alike. Although not a new issue, it has recently become more visible for two reasons: first, it is getting much worse in many areas with a lot of renewables, and second, clean energy buyers are increasingly taking on basis-risk exposure through contractual terms in PPA agreements. While basis used to be a risk only borne by project developers and investors, now corporates are sensitive to it as well.

In Q2, a handful of renewable-rich regions saw generation-weighted (AsGen) basis worsen by double digit values relative to the 4 year Q2 average. In many cases this was most prominent in areas that were already no stranger to negative basis. In ERCOT South Hub, for example, the average AsGen basis for operating wind projects in Q2 over the last 4 years was -$11 – in 2022 it declined to -$34. In the NP15 region of CAISO, the average AsGen basis for operating solar projects dropped from -$9 over the last 4 years to -$27 in 2022. And in SPP South Hub, operating wind projects saw their 4 year average decline from -$9 to -$31 in 2022.

But hub-level average values only tell part of the story, since basis is inherently a project-specific concern and can vary considerably not only within hub boundaries but across projects only miles apart from each other. For instance, when considering the projects within SPP South Hub last quarter, REmap shows project-by-project AsGen basis values that varied from as low as -$48 to as high as $26. The same extreme divergence played out across different ISOs and hubs, driven by subregional constraints driving a wedge in value between locations on either side of congested areas.

Basis warrants so much attention because it is extremely volatile and has a large impact on investment returns. In addition, it is hard to solve: investment into transmission infrastructure takes years and is extremely expensive. Developers screen for viable greenfield locations to avoid it, investors pore over model results to price it, and now energy buyers are turning to their advisors or tools to understand it better as well. The basis risk sharing clauses increasingly present in PPAs link the developer and clean energy buyer to the project’s basis performance in ways the two groups weren’t before, and the mechanics of that linkage aren’t always well understood. Although its impact ultimately depends
on the counterparty and the project-specific contract details that can either worsen or improve exposure, one thing is clear: basis should be on everyone’s radar.

In this Q2 REmap report, we analyze a number of metrics including: shape, capacity factor, and AsGen value of power for renewables domestically. REmap users have real-time access to these metrics and more, including basis analysis, through the map-based SaaS offering.

*AsGen basis is defined in this report as the difference between a project’s AsGen nodal price ($/MWh) and its hub price ($/MWh), where the hub is assumed to encompass the area where the node is located.

Q2 2022 REmap Report Download

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REsurety unveils renewable energy toolkit for portfolio management

Solar Wind Energy

Clean energy buyers and investors utilize the best-in-class SaaS to forecast, audit and explain the financial and environmental outcomes of clean energy projects and contracts

BOSTON, June 28, 2022 – REsurety, Inc., the leading analytics company empowering the clean energy economy, today announced a new SaaS analytics toolkit, REview. It’s the latest addition to the company’s software suite, which harnesses massive project performance and high resolution weather datasets to give clean energy buyers and investors a unique view into the financial and carbon emissions impact of the projects in their clean energy portfolios. 

The new toolkit extends REsurety’s existing market intelligence SaaS product capabilities by providing insight into customer-specific projects and specific contracts. REview customers can use the tool to analyze how their contracts are performing, what risks they hold, and how settlement is expected to occur over the coming months and years. The tool provides a breakdown of drivers of financial, operational, and carbon emissions performance, both at the hourly and aggregate level. 

Rich Santoroski, Chief Risk Officer and Co-head of Portfolio Management for Hannon Armstrong
Rich Santoroski

“We are pleased to incorporate REsurety’s dynamic new tool in service of our commitment to innovative client solutions,” said Rich Santoroski, Chief Risk Officer and Co-Head of Portfolio Management for Hannon Armstrong, and a Board member of REsurety. “Like their entire set of software applications, REview offers superior data with actionable insights to evaluate new renewable energy investments and monitor asset performance.”

REview delivers several unique benefits to customers: data speed and transparency, locational marginal emissions (LME) integration, and fundamentals-driven, scenario-based forecasting. REview provides high accuracy estimates of project and contract performance long before project data is typically provided; an independent and granular view of settlement and operational performance; and it’s the only tool on the market that measures both project-specific carbon emissions performance alongside project-specific financial performance. 

Lee Taylor, CEO of REsurety
Lee Taylor

“REsurety is excited to empower sustainability leaders with the insight and confidence they need to continue accelerating their investments in the clean energy-fueled future,” said REsurety CEO Lee Taylor. “Full visibility into project performance – both financial and environmental – and high confidence in the value and risk of future results is key for the long term success of this industry.”

For years, REsurety has used its proprietary data and analytics to accurately model the project output, carbon emissions impact, and financial value of clean energy generation. The new subscription service leverages these models and makes the insights they enable accessible to corporate buyers or investors through just a few clicks.

Screenshot of REsurety's new analytic tool, REview
REview helps customers understand settlement impacts potentially caused by a project’s operations by comparing modeled settlement to actual settlement.

Information about REview and its applications can be found here.

REview is currently in private launch with leaders in clean energy procurement, investment, and trading. General availability beyond the private launch is expected later this fall.

Companies may request an online demo of REview from an expert on the REsurety team by contacting [email protected]. Members of the news media may arrange for a demo by contacting Tara Bartley, [email protected]

About REsurety

REsurety is the leading analytics company empowering the clean energy economy. Operating at the intersection of weather, power markets, and financial modeling, we enable the industry’s decision-makers to thrive through best-in-class value and risk intelligence, and the tools to act on it. For more information, visit www.resurety.com or follow REsurety on LinkedIn


Disclaimer.

Media Advisory: Prolonged periods of negative pricing in Q1 set new record

Blair Allen

REsurety’s REmap Q1 State of the Renewables Market report presents generation-weighted value, shape value, and capacity factor for major U.S. hubs

BOSTON, MAY 10, 2022 – The U.S. power grid saw record lows in the first quarter of 2022, REsurety’s REmap Q1 2022 State of the Renewables Market Report finds, with prolonged negative pricing in Texas expected to ease this summer.

Unlike the soaring prices of last year during the Texas energy crisis of February 2021, this year the ERCOT power grid saw record lows in Q1. It was another turn in a developing plotline REsurety commented on last quarter. 

One example: In February 2021, ERCOT West Hub (among others) settled at the market price cap of $9,000/MWh for three days; in February 2022 ERCOT West Hub saw a two day period where prices never rose above $0/MWh. Mild demand coupled with sustained periods of high wind and solar generation created the conditions for this negative pricing event, though these conditions weren’t isolated to only those few days. In fact, by the end of the quarter, West Hub more than doubled the number of negative-priced hours than were seen in Q1 the year prior.

REsurety creates the REmap-powered State of the Renewables Market report every quarter to provide readers with data-driven insight into the value and latest emerging trends of renewables in U.S. markets. The team uses its knowledge in power markets, atmospheric science, and renewable offtake to analyze thousands of locations, and summarize a few key findings, using the data that is available via its interactive software tool, REmap.

Key components in the report to be used to analyze trends in a given ISO, sub-regions of an ISO, or hub, are:

  • The generation weighted value, or the realized value of the wind and solar projects 
  • The shape value, or the relationship between the generation value and the simple-average market price
  • The net capacity factor for operating wind and solar projects 
Blair Allen, Director, Software Customer Success, REsurety
Blair Allen

“Using the modeled energy in REmap, which tells us how projects could have performed based on underlying wind/solar resource availability, last quarter West Texas solar projects saw anywhere from 20 to 30% of their potential hourly production for a given month happen in negatively priced hours. However, in reality, these projects weren’t operating at their potential capacity in these intervals, and either shut down or significantly ramped down production,” reports Blair Allen, Director, Software Customer Success, REsurety. 

Over the next quarter as the weather starts to transition to summer conditions negative pricing is expected to decline. With an increase and shift in demand, Q2 will likely be a transitional period, with the frequency of negative pricing hours remaining high to start before subsiding more materially by the end of the summer in mid Q3. 

The power of REmap lies in the historical and predictive modeling for renewable energy projects across the United States, as well as the ability to analyze hypothetical installations. Learn more by reading the Q1 report

About REsurety

REsurety is the leading analytics company empowering the clean energy economy. Operating at the intersection of weather, power markets, and financial modeling, we enable the industry’s decision-makers to thrive through best-in-class value and risk intelligence, and the tools to act on it. For more information, visit www.resurety.com or follow REsurety on LinkedIn

Contact:  Allison Lenthall, [email protected], +1-202-322-8285


Disclaimer.

Q1 2022 REmap Report

REsurety creates the REmap-powered State of the Renewables Market report every quarter to provide readers with data-driven insight into the emerging trends and value of renewables in U.S. power markets. We combine our domain expertise in power markets, atmospheric science, and renewable offtake to analyze thousands of projects and locations and summarize key findings here. All of the data behind this analysis is available via our interactive software tool, REmap. Please fill out the form to access the full report, the Editor’s Note is below.

Q1 2022 State of the Renewables Market Report

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Blair Allen, director, software customer success, REsurety

Blair Allen
Director, Software Customer Success, REsurety

Editor’s Note: As the first quarter of 2022 concludes, we reflect on historic highs and historic lows. Another record in ERCOT marks the quarter’s passing, just as one did a year ago following the market events of February 2021. However, unlike the soaring prices of last year, this record involves a prolonged period of negative pricing, and another turn in a developing plotline we commented on last quarter. Please fill out the form below to access the report.

Consider this comparison: in February 2021 ERCOT West Hub (along with others) settled at the market price cap of $9,000/MWh for three days; in February 2022 ERCOT West Hub saw a two day period where prices never rose above $0/MWh. Mild demand coupled with sustained periods of high wind and solar generation created the conditions for this negative pricing event, though these conditions weren’t isolated to only those few days. In fact, by the end of the quarter, West Hub would more than double the number of negative-priced hours than were seen in Q1 the year prior.

One impact of this increasing frequency in negative pricing is rising levels of curtailment, particularly among solar projects which, unlike wind, don’t benefit from the production tax credit and are less likely to operate below $0/MWh. For example, using the modeled energy in REmap, which tells us how projects could have performed based on underlying wind/solar resource availability, last quarter West Texas solar projects saw anywhere from 20 to 30% of their potential hourly production for a given month fall in negatively priced hours. However, in reality these projects weren’t operating at their potential capacity in these intervals, and either shut down or significantly ramped down production.

Another important angle to consider: whereas for the last few years hourly negative prices at West Hub were evenly split between on-peak and off-peak hours during this time of year, this year saw that balance shift to 60/40 in favor of on-peak hours. The cause for this shift is clear: increasing amounts of solar capacity means that low pricing is no longer just following the production profiles for wind, and is coinciding more regularly with the rise and fall of solar energy.

Looking ahead, as seasons change into summer conditions so too do we expect a change in the volume of negative pricing. An increase and shift in demand– which will steadily move more towards the mid afternoon as air conditioning ramps–and a decline in wind production at the same time should converge to steadily mitigate on-peak negative price frequency. Q2 will likely be a transitional period, with frequency of negative pricing hours remaining high to start before subsiding more materially by the end of the quarter.

REmap Product Brochure

Evaluate the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats associated with specific markets, projects and contracts.

Download the REmap Product Brochure to learn about REsurety’s map-based SaaS product that integrates weather and power market data at an unprecedented scale, providing clients with the industry-wide breadth ad the site-specific depth of analysis needed to make better decisions faster.

REmap product brochure cover page.

Risk Management Brochure

Risk Management Tools for Clean Energy Sellers and Clean Energy Buyers

This brochure outlines: REsurety’s Experience; Tools for Energy Sellers including power purchase agreement, revenue swap, and balance of hedge; Tools for Clean Energy Buyers including settlement for guarantee agreement and volume firming agreement; and Settlement Index Options. Fill out the form below to download.

Risk Management Tools for Clean Energy Sellers and Clean Energy Buyers

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Iron Mountain teams with Birch Infrastructure & REsurety to de-risk clean energy procurement

REsurety helps Iron Mountain limit its exposure to variable weather and power markets, to achieve both sustainability and financial goals while investing in offsite renewable energy.

Birch Infrastructure has created a customized solution that will enable data center leader Iron Mountain, Inc. to continuously and cost-effectively power its data centers in five states with renewable power. That energy, produced at the Ringer Hill Wind Farm in Pennsylvania and the Dermott Wind project in Texas, will be financially firmed up into a reliable 24/7 power solution, thereby avoiding the cost and complexity standard in traditional renewable energy purchases.

Iron Mountain had previously announced its Ringer Hill and Dermott wind power agreements in 2016 and 2017. Mark Kidd, Iron Mountain’s Executive Vice President and General Manager of Data Centers, commented: “Iron Mountain’s Data Center business has been powered with 100% renewable energy since 2017. Power Purchase Agreements with projects such as Ringer Hill and Dermott are a key part of that strategy. Birch has enabled us to manage the risks inherent in this type of agreement and confidently enter into additional agreements to responsibly power our rapidly growing data center footprint.”     

“Utilizing risk management tools and assembling the right team is how we’re able to help partners like Iron Mountain meet their renewable energy and financial goals,” said Kenneth Davies, Chief Strategy Officer at Birch. “Our aim with all of our clients is to reduce the risk and uncertainty that comes with renewables while providing clean energy reliably and cost-effectively. That’s what we were able to do for Iron Mountain.”

To help reduce risk and costs and simplify renewable energy for Iron Mountain, Birch teamed up with REsurety, a provider of valuation analytics and risk management services in the renewable energy market. Specifically, Birch incorporated two weather-linked risk management products to improve on the standard virtual Power Purchase Agreement (vPPA) – a Settlement Guarantee Agreement (SGA) and a Volume Firming Agreement (VFA).

These tools allow corporate clean energy purchasers to limit their exposure to variability from weather and power market fluctuations while investing in offsite renewable energy. Birch executed the SGA and VFA for Iron Mountain with Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty’s Capital Solutions unit, in collaboration with Nephila Climate. REsurety provided the valuation and risk analytics in support of the transactions, and will serve as the calculation agent for their ongoing tracking and settlement.

“vPPAs are great tools for corporates to achieve their sustainability goals,” said Lee Taylor, CEO of REsurety. “Unfortunately, on their own they can result in ineffective hedges on energy consumption costs or speculative exposure to commodity markets and weather. Birch and Iron Mountain recognized these challenges, and we are delighted to have supported their transition to this new solution – ensuring Iron Mountain achieves its sustainability goals and its financial goals, simultaneously.” 

About Iron Mountain

Iron Mountain Incorporated, founded in 1951, is the global leader for storage and information management services. Trusted by more than 225,000 organizations around the world, and with a real estate network of more than 90 million square feet across more than 1,480 facilities in approximately 50 countries, Iron Mountain stores and protects billions of valued assets, including critical business information, highly sensitive data, and cultural and historical artifacts. Providing solutions that include secure records storage, information management, digital transformation, secure destruction, as well as data centers, cloud services and art storage and logistics, Iron Mountain helps customers lower cost and risk, comply with regulations, recover from disaster, and enable a more digital way of working.

Visit www.ironmountain.com for more information.

About Birch Infrastructure

Birch Infrastructure, PBLLC, is a employee-owned public benefit company that partners with utilities and rural communities to reduce the cost and risk of powering the cloud with one-hundred percent renewable energy. Birch develops, structures, owns and operates utility infrastructure, thereby enabling its data center customers to improve their environmental performance without assuming the risk or complexity of the wholesale energy market.  

About Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty

Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty (AGCS) is a leading global corporate insurance carrier and a key business unit of Allianz Group. We provide risk consultancyProperty-Casualty insurance solutions and alternative risk transfer for a wide spectrum of commercial, corporate and specialty risks across 10 dedicated lines of business.

Our customers are as diverse as business can be, ranging from Fortune Global 500 companies to small businesses, and private individuals. Among them are not only the world’s largest consumer brands, tech companies and the global aviation and shipping industry, but also wineries, satellite operators and Hollywood film productions. They all look to AGCS for smart answers to their largest and most complex risks in a dynamic, multinational business environment and trust us to deliver an outstanding claims experience.

Worldwide, AGCS operates with its own teams in 32 countries and through the Allianz Group network and partners in over 200 countries and territories, employing over 4,450 people. As one of the largest Property-Casualty units of Allianz Group, we are backed by strong financial ratings. In 2019, AGCS generated a total of €9.1 billion gross premium globally. www.agcs.allianz.com

About Nephila

Nephila Capital Ltd is a leading investment manager specializing in (re)insurance and weather risk. Nephila Climate is a dedicated weather and climate risk transfer and ESG-driven business. Nephila offers a broad range of investment products focusing on instruments such as insurance-linked securities, catastrophe bonds, insurance swaps, and private transactions. Nephila Capital Ltd has assets under management of approximately $10.2 billion as of June 1, 2020 and has been managing institutional assets in this space since it was founded in 1998. The firm has over 250 employees based in their Bermuda headquarters, San Francisco, CA, Nashville, TN and London. Further information can be found at www.nephilaclimate.com or www.nephila.com.

Reposted as in CISION PR Newswire.